Beyond the ecological fallacy : the Duncan-Davis technique of ecological inference

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Visser, Max (1994) Beyond the ecological fallacy : the Duncan-Davis technique of ecological inference. Quality & Quantity, 28 (4). pp. 435-444. ISSN 0033-5177

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Abstract:The analysis of long-term social and political developments in Western countries is often difficult because of a lack of sufficient survey data. Almost always official election and census statistics are available over long periods, yet the use of these data for individual-level inferences runs the risk of the ecological fallacy. In this paper we propose a method to go beyond the fallacy, the Duncan-Davis technique for area-classified data. The method is discussed and used to assess the amount of religious voting among Dutch Catholics in the 1971 general election. While the technique is only moderately helpful in this case, it is expected to be far more useful for the analysis of older elections.
Item Type:Article
Copyright:© 1994 Kluwer Academic
Faculty:
Management and Governance (SMG)
Link to this item:http://purl.utwente.nl/publications/80690
Official URL:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01097020
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