Failed technology futures: Pitfalls and lessons from a historical survey

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Geels, Frank W. and Smit, Wim A. (2000) Failed technology futures: Pitfalls and lessons from a historical survey. Futures, 32 (9-10). pp. 867-885. ISSN 0016-3287

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Abstract:Images of the future, with hindsight, turn out to be either right or wrong. In this article, past images of the impact of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) on traffic and transportation are investigated. Informed by the field of technology studies, seven key features are formulated that point at pitfalls and neglected aspects in many future expectations on technological developments and their societal impact. It is also argued that the evolution from broad sweeping promises to more down-to-earth assessments is inherent in technological developments, because expectations and diffuse scenarios also play a performative role in technological developments.
Item Type:Article
Copyright:© 2000 Elsevier Science
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Link to this item:http://purl.utwente.nl/publications/34370
Official URL:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0016-3287(00)00036-7
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